Public archive

Intelligence posts

Source-backed updates with explicit uncertainty, claim status, OPSEC boundaries, and narrative-risk signals.

240 public intelligence itemsPage 15 / 20
RUSI logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

Threats to Maritime Trade are Spreading to the Indo-Pacific

Threats to Maritime Trade are Spreading to the Indo-Pacific. The ‘Bashi Breakout’ – China’s maritime operation east of Taiwan – is a warning that disruption to maritime trade is spreading to the Indo-Pacific.

Politico Europe logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

Norway to Trump: We’re already doing the hard work in the Arctic

Norway to Trump: We’re already doing the hard work in the Arctic. As the U.S. president revives his push for Washington's control of Greenland, Norway’s defense minister says Oslo is helping defend America in the Arctic.

Financial Times logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

Ukraine intensifies attacks on Russian ships in Azov Sea

Ukraine intensifies attacks on Russian ships in Azov Sea. Eight small fuel tankers supplying Crimea were hit overnight, says Kyiv

Politico Europe logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

Trump orders a halt to US trade with Spain

Trump orders a halt to US trade with Spain. “Spain is a wasted cause. We don’t want to do any trade business with Spain anymore,” says U.S. president.

France 24 logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

Live: Trump says 'very upset with NATO' over Iran war, Greenland

Live: Trump says 'very upset with NATO' over Iran war, Greenland. US President Donald Trump on Wednesday said he was “very upset with NATO” after alliance members continued their resistance to his desire to acquire Greenland for the United…

Financial Times logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

FirstFT: Trump declares US-Iran ceasefire ‘over’

FirstFT: Trump declares US-Iran ceasefire ‘over’. Also in today’s newsletter: Italy’s UniCredit close to securing control of Germany’s Commerzbank and Japan’s borrowing costs hit a 30-year high

Bloomberg logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

How Murky Finances are Haunting Reform UK’s Farage

How Murky Finances are Haunting Reform UK’s Farage. Nigel Farage, leader of the right-wing Reform UK party and architect of Brexit, is facing an uncertain future after damaging media reports about his financial affairs.

OSW Centre for Eastern Studies logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

Alice Weidel consolidates her leadership of the AfD

Alice Weidel consolidates her leadership of the AfD. At the AfD party congress held in Erfurt on 4–5 July, approximately 600 delegates elected the party’s leadership. Alice Weidel (81.3% of the vote, up from 79.

Politico Europe logoSource logo
Medium-high confidenceLow OPSECLow narrative risk

A month in the spotlight? Nigel Farage’s Clacton gamble

A month in the spotlight? Nigel Farage’s Clacton gamble. Nigel Farage has triggered a political earthquake by quitting as an MP – but is he trying to get ahead of an inevitable scandal?